The yen could trigger a global shock without most investors seeing it coming
The Bank of Japan’s monetary normalisation and joint interventions with the US Treasury mark the end of global cheap capital, threatening a massive systemic deleveraging.
Market insights is Smart Money Activity's analysis library for investors who want context, not noise. It brings together insights on macro, equities, crypto, fixed income, commodities and currencies, with a practical long-term focus. In every article we turn data into implications: inflation, interest rates, growth, liquidity, valuations, spreads and volatility. The aim is simple: to help you understand what moves prices, which risks are underpriced, and where an investment opportunity with an attractive risk/reward profile might appear. We also synthesise macro trends and regime changes so you anticipate moves rather than react to them. We include charts and a section on implications by portfolio profile, from indexing to tactical strategies, so you can act with judgement.
In macro, we connect indicators and monetary policy with likely scenarios. In equities, we analyse sectors, styles and expectations, and highlight companies and indices worth following. In crypto, we combine market reading with on-chain metrics to separate narrative from real traction. In fixed income, we compare curves, duration and credit to measure rate sensitivity and opportunity cost. In commodities, we explain supply and demand shocks in energy, metals and agriculture. In currencies, we watch rate differentials, flows and the impact on your return when you invest outside your base currency.
In Market insights, each piece is designed to be used alongside the DASHBOARD portfolio manager: you read the analysis, review your exposure and check whether you are concentrated in one sector, one currency or one specific risk. If you want to carry this into your day-to-day, and if you want to try the Smart Money Activity app, keep this section as a reference. And to stay up to date without losing time, subscribe to the weekly briefing: a summary with the essentials, clear conclusions and upcoming catalysts. That way you keep an informed, consistent routine.
This analysis is only available in Spanish.
The Bank of Japan’s monetary normalisation and joint interventions with the US Treasury mark the end of global cheap capital, threatening a massive systemic deleveraging.
El mercado enfrenta una rotación estructural en 2026, marcada por la industrialización de la IA y el cuestionamiento de la independencia de la Fed. Analizamos el paso del entusiasmo especulativo a una economía de infraestructuras y prioridades estratégicas.
El oro y la plata enfrentan una corrección histórica tras el "pánico de Groenlandia" y la nominación de Kevin Warsh. Analizamos la divergencia entre la volatilidad de corto plazo y los fundamentos de demanda récord que sostienen la tesis del "Smart Money".
Análisis de la transición estructural de Bitcoin hacia un activo impulsado por flujos sistemáticos en un entorno de "Extreme Fear". Evaluación del impacto de la economía agéntica, el régimen MiCA y la entrada de fondos soberanos como el ADIC.
Want these analyses in your inbox? Subscribe to the weekly briefing